Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.032431 0.035552 0.038719 0.042167 0.045808 0.049533 0.053626
2025-08-31 0.028390 0.033051 0.037958 0.043483 0.049505 0.055847 0.063006
2025-09-07 0.025098 0.030858 0.037123 0.044384 0.052510 0.061270 0.071371
2025-09-14 0.022306 0.028859 0.036203 0.044935 0.054933 0.065924 0.078823
2025-09-21 0.019824 0.026931 0.035124 0.045098 0.056751 0.069783 0.085312
2025-09-28 0.018373 0.026050 0.035118 0.046378 0.059754 0.074924 0.093216
2025-10-05 0.016188 0.024071 0.033634 0.045761 0.060421 0.077286 0.097872
2025-10-12 0.014629 0.022734 0.032808 0.045826 0.061806 0.080417 0.103370
2025-10-19 0.013509 0.021863 0.032477 0.046424 0.063774 0.084195 0.109603
2025-10-26 0.012673 0.021295 0.032471 0.047379 0.066142 0.088431 0.116374
2025-11-02 0.010868 0.019257 0.030440 0.045664 0.065128 0.088534 0.118169
2025-11-09 0.009751 0.018095 0.029489 0.045264 0.065695 0.090506 0.122173
2025-11-16 0.008680 0.016937 0.028504 0.044806 0.066201 0.092445 0.126208
2025-11-23 0.008294 0.016776 0.028875 0.046140 0.069004 0.097240 0.133763
2025-11-30 0.007808 0.016423 0.028950 0.047059 0.071269 0.101377 0.140535
2025-12-07 0.007259 0.015922 0.028781 0.047623 0.073059 0.104919 0.146586
2025-12-14 0.006645 0.015264 0.028345 0.047788 0.074305 0.107765 0.151778
2025-12-21 0.006392 0.015186 0.028749 0.049115 0.077089 0.112571 0.159430
2025-12-28 0.005663 0.014226 0.027782 0.048473 0.077217 0.113972 0.162813
2026-01-04 0.005168 0.013632 0.027336 0.048541 0.078277 0.116554 0.167677
2026-01-11 0.004838 0.013309 0.027286 0.049161 0.080076 0.120086 0.173744
2026-01-18 0.004611 0.013158 0.027495 0.050152 0.082380 0.124281 0.180667
2026-01-25 0.003850 0.011891 0.025855 0.048372 0.080829 0.123417 0.181127